đ Residential Real Estate
The residential real estate markets in Germany are showing increasing polarization between sought-after metropolitan regions and structurally weak rural areas. While prices in prime locations remain stable due to immigration and scarcity, they are declining moderately in peripheral areas. Higher financing costs are dampening demand, leading to longer marketing periods and initial price drops in overvalued segments. At the same time, the shortage of building land and construction capacity is curbing supply, preventing a complete price collapse. Rental markets remain tight, as new construction barely contributes to relief. Overall, the market is characterized by a cooling trend, but without signs of a deep crisis.
đĸ Commercial Real Estate
**Analysis of Commercial Segments:**
The segments show a heterogeneous risk structure: While the manufacturing sector is characterized by high fixed costs and cyclical order cycles, the service sector exhibits higher margin stability with lower capital commitment. Retail is suffering from declining sales per square meter and increasing online competitive pressure, leading to higher insolvency rates. The skilled trades benefit from price increases due to labor shortages but face succession problems. The gastronomy and hotel industry show extreme seasonality with fluctuating occupancy rates, requiring liquidity reserves. The healthcare sector, on the other hand, offers stable demand due to demographic trends, but with regulatory margin restrictions.
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